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How Long Will My Retirement Money Last?

Test whether your savings will last given yearly withdrawals, returns and inflation.

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The 4% guideline

A first-year withdrawal of about 4% of your pot, adjusted for inflation each year, has historically lasted 30 years in US data. Starting higher or retiring earlier raises the risk of running out.

Using this tool

We withdraw at the start of each year, grow the rest by your return and raise withdrawals with inflation. Real markets are uneven, so treat results as a planning guide and leave a safety margin.

Worked example

With the starting values (Retirement savings: 800000, Yearly withdrawal (first year): 40000, Expected annual return (%): 5, Inflation (%): 3), the calculator shows Money lasts: 25 years. Also: First-year withdrawal rate: 5.0%; Withdrawal in year 10: $52,190.93; Real return (after inflation): 1.94%. Change the inputs above to see your own result.

Last reviewed November 2026. Formulas are standard and shown in the sections above; results are estimates.

Tips and common mistakes

Frequently asked questions

Is 4% safe?

It is a guideline, not a guarantee.

What return should I use?

A mix of stocks and bonds might average 4-6% before inflation. Be cautious.

Does it include tax?

No.

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Results are estimates and not financial advice.